November 30, 2022

Analyze the Odds dominates Aqueduct, becomes first winner for Overanalyze

Analyze the Odds is a Repole Stable runner trained by Todd Pletcher, like sire Overanalyze (NYRA/Coglianese/Chelsea Durand photo)

Four years ago around this time, Mike Repole was celebrating the resounding Arkansas Derby (G1) victory by Overanalyze. On Thursday, the freshman sire’s first winner, Analyze the Odds, rolled to a 4 1/2-length victory in the Repole Stable colors at Aqueduct.

Trained like his sire by Todd Pletcher, Analyze the Odds was part of the 1-5 entry along with Surprise Wonder, who rounded out the all-Repole exacta. The winner broke sharply for Irad Ortiz Jr., let a rival go to the lead, and overwhelmed the pacesetter in the stretch to complete 4 1/2 furlongs in :52.53.

Analyze the Odds was bred by Lansdowne Stables in New York and sold for $15,000 as a yearling at Fasig-Tipton Kentucky October. The bay colt is the first registered foal from the winning The Sense Angel, a Mineshaft mare descending from the great matron Sex Appeal. The juvenile’s third dam, Golden Oriole, is a full sister to El Gran Senor and Try My Best.

Overanalyze is by Dixie Union, who’s also responsible for hot second-crop sire Union Rags. Out of the unraced Unaccounted For mare Unacloud, Overanalyze is a half-brother to Grade 1 winner Meadow Breeze (dam of last year’s Hopeful [G1] runner-up Royal Copy) and 2016 Florida Derby (G1) second Majesto.

Hero of the 2012 Remsen (G2) and Futurity (G2) in addition to his Arkansas Derby victory, Overanalyze retired with a record of 11-4-0-2, $1,046,381. That also reflects placings in the West Virginia Derby (G2) and Iroquois (G3).

The seven-year-old Overanalyze stands for $10,000, stands and nurses, at WinStar Farm near Versailles, Kentucky.