September 25, 2022

How To Bet Oaklawn If It’s an Off Track

With a 100% chance of rain during the Friday card at Oaklawn Park, it’s almost a certainty that at least some of the day’s 10 races will be on an off track. For Oaklawn handicapping reports, CLICK HERE.

What does that mean for handicappers? Well, the off going at Oaklawn appears to impact race shapes on the fringes. That is speed and deep closers (“E” and “S” types, respectively, in the Ultimate Past Performances) appear to do better than midpack (“E/P” & “P”) types. This makes sense if you think about who’s likely to get the cleanest trips.

Sprints are more formful than routes with the best last-out Brisnet Speed Rating showing a flat-bet profit in sprints not run on a fast track. Horses with a wide gap in Prime Power perform well as well, which unfortunately means taking a short price, but it is good information for a trustworthy single in multi-race bets if that’s your jam.