In addition to $1 beer, local food trucks, and The Sheryl Rouse Band, attendees of Churchill Downs‘ Thursday, September 20, card have eight races on which to wager. Based on the morning-line prices of some of my “A” horses (see grid above), it could be a lucrative evening beneath the Twin Spires (or on TwinSpires.com where you can watch and wager if you’re not here for dollar brouhahas).
Our best bet of the day from a price perspective is Momma Joann (#8), who drops to the $10,000 maiden claiming level looking not only for her first win but also the first win for her trainer, Timothy Austin, who’s a former assistant to D. Wayne Lukas.
At 10-1, this Cowboy Cal filly with Declan Cannon up figures to benefit from the class drop while trying a dirt route for the first time. A clean break from the outside could either give her a pressing trip outside Cassidy Avenue (#1) or maybe they just try to “steal” it. Either way, I think we’re getting the right price to find out.
Our best bet from a most likely winner standpoint is in the preceding race, as Alex’s Bourbon (#3) is our only lone “A” on the grid (see above). This filly had a speed-and-fade trip from the outside behind two next-out winners at Ellis Park and now draws back inside against maiden winners. She has a big chance to be lone speed and will be a single on all my multi-race wagers.
Have fun tonight!