January 31, 2023

Forte, Into Mischief close as individual favorites in Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2, Sire Future Wager

Forte, with Irad Ortiz aboard, wins the Breeders' Cup Juvenile (Photo by Horsephotos.com)

The closing of Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2 and the Kentucky Derby Sire Future Wager provided a burst of Thanksgiving-week intrigue for Derby-focused horseplayers.

As was the case in Pool 1, the “All other colts and geldings from the 2020 foal crop” option closed as an odds-on favorite, settling at 0.84-1. But whereas in Pool 1 the exciting maiden winner Extra Anejo closed as the individual favorite over two-time Grade 1 winner Forte, the tables were turned in Pool 2. Having since added the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) to his decorated resume, Forte closed as the 10-1 individual favorite in Pool 2, with Extra Anejo drifting slightly to 13-1.

Loggins, a close runner-up behind Forte in the Breeders’ Futurity (G1), wound up as the fourth choice overall at 19-1. Giant Mischief (27-1), Signator (27-1), and “All fillies from the 2020 foal crop” (29-1) were the only others to close under 30-1.

Rounding out the extensive menu of wagering options were Instant Coffee (35-1), Blazing Sevens (37-1), Echo Again (45-1), Disarm (45-1), Cyclone Mischief (47-1), Litigate (57-1), Victory Formation (60-1), Curly Jack (61-1), Tuskegee Airmen (64-1), Awesome Strong (64-1), Capture the Flag (65-1), Corona Bolt (65-1), Expect More (70-1), Gulfport (70-1), Verifying (74-1), Forbidden Secret (80-1), General Jim (82-1), Hit Show (90-1), Tapit’s Conquest (94-1), Cascais (107-1), Mr. Ripple (120-1), Champions Dream (131-1), Rocket Can (132-1), Navy Man (133-1), Bromley (141-1), Denington (159-1), Full Moon Madness (179-1), Recruiter (182-1), Ten Days Later (187-1), Hal (198-1), Joking Way (279-1) and Practical Move (350-1). Frank’s Honor scratched.

ProgramHorse NameODDS
1Awesome Strong64-1
2Blazing Sevens37-1
3Bromley99-1
4Capture the Flag65-1
5Cascais99-1
6Champions Dream99-1
7Corona Bolt65-1
8Curly Jack61-1
9Cyclone Mischief47-1
10Denington99-1
11Disarm45-1
12Echo Again45-1
13Expect More70-1
14Extra Anejo13-1
15Forbidden Secret80-1
16Forte10-1
17Frank’s HonorSCR
18Full Moon Madness99-1
19General Jim82-1
20Giant Mischief27-1
21Gulfport70-1
22Hal99-1
23Hit Show90-1
24Instant Coffee35-1
25Joking Way99-1
26Litigate57-1
27Loggins19-1
28Mr. Ripple99-1
29Navy Man99-1
30Practical Move99-1
31Recruiter99-1
32Rocket Can99-1
33Signator27-1
34Tapit’s Conquest94-1
35Ten Days Later99-1
36Tuskegee Airmen64-1
37Verifying74-1
38Victory Formation60-1
39All Other 3yo Fillies29-1
40All Other 3yo Old Males4-5

The Kentucky Derby Sire Future Wager produced a much narrower gap between the two favorites. “All other sires” narrowly drew the most support at odds of 5-1, but individual favorite Into Mischief—on his way to a fourth consecutive title as North America’s leading sire—wasn’t far behind at 7-1.

Violence, the sire of Forte, settled as the third choice at 11-1. Gun Runner (12-1), Uncle Mo (13-1), Curlin (16-1), Justify (16-1), Tapit (17-1), Bolt d’Oro (18-1), Ghostzapper (19-1), and Quality Road (19-1) comprised a cluster of well-regarded stallions closing at under 20-1.

Rounding out the list of betting interests were Good Magic (25-1), Arrogate (27-1), Candy Ride 30-1), American Pharoah (45-1), Hard Spun (48-1), Cairo Prince (50-1), City of Light (60-1), Not This Time (60-1), Street Sense (66-1), Practical Joke (69-1), Bernardini (75-1), Nyquist (76-1), Constitution (80-1), Mendelssohn (84-1), Runhappy (89-1), Medaglia d’Oro (91-1), West Coast (96-1), Empire Maker (98-1), Pioneerof the Nile (106-1), War Front (111-1), Girvin (114-1), More Than Ready (126-1), Malibu Moon (134-1), Union Rags (138-1), Sharp Azteca (141-1), Classic Empire (146-1), Cloud Computing (154-1), Speightstown (175-1), and Flatter (199-1).

Only one Kentucky Derby Sire Future Wager pool is offered each year, but there are six Kentucky Derby Future Wager pools slated in advance of the 2023 Kentucky Derby. The next is Pool 3, scheduled for Jan. 20-22.

ProgramHorse NameODDS
1American Pharoah45-1
2Arrogate27-1
3Bernardini75-1
4Bolt d’Oro18-1
5Cairo Prince50-1
6Candy Ride (ARG)30-1
7City of Light60-1
8Classic Empire99-1
9Cloud Computing99-1
10Constitution80-1
11Curlin16-1
12Empire Maker98-1
13Flatter99-1
14Ghostzapper19-1
15Girvin99-1
16Good Magic25-1
17Gun Runner12-1
18Hard Spun48-1
19Into Mischief7-1
20Justify16-1
21Malibu Moon99-1
22Medaglia d’Oro91-1
23Mendelssohn84-1
24More Than Ready99-1
25Not This Time60-1
26Nyquist76-1
27Pioneerof the Nile99-1
28Practical Joke69-1
29Quality Road19-1
30Runhappy89-1
31Sharp Azteca99-1
32Speightstown99-1
33Street Sense66-1
34Tapit17-1
35Uncle Mo13-1
36Union Rags99-1
37Violence11-1
38War Front99-1
39West Coast96-1
40All Other Sires5-1