May 20, 2024

Breeders’ Cup Previews J

Last updated: 10/27/07 4:54 PM

BREEDERS’ CUP
PREVIEWS

BREEDERS’ CUP CLASSIC
(G1), 11TH-MTH, $5,000,000, 3YO/UP, 1 1/4M, 5:35 P.M. EDT, 10-27
 
1
LAWYER RON, 4, c, by Langfuhr—Donation, by Lord Avie O-Est of James T Hines Jr & Stonewall
Stallions; B-James T. Hines Jr. (Ky)
2
STREET SENSE, 3, c, by Street Cry (Ire)—Bedazzle, by Dixieland Band O-James B Tafel; B-James Tafel (Ky)
3
ANY GIVEN SATURDAY, 3, c, by Distorted Humor—Weekend in Indy, by A.P. Indy O-WinStar Farm
LLC & Padua Stables; B-Racehorse Management, LLC (Ky)
4
CURLIN, 3, c, by Smart Strike—Sherriff’s Deputy, by Deputy Minister O-Stonestreet Padua G Bolton
et al; B-Fares Farm Inc (Ky)
5
GEORGE WASHINGTON (IRE), 4, c, by Danehill—Bordighera, by Alysheba O-Mrs John Magnier Michael Tabor & Derrick
Smith; B-Lael Stables (Ire)
6
AWESOME GEM, 4, G, by Awesome Again—Piano, by Pentelicus O-West Point Patrice Arudel & Paul Blavin; B-Peter Callahan,
Catesby Clay & Runnymede Farm Inc. (Ky)
7
DIAMOND STRIPES, 4, G, by Notebook—Romantic Summer, by On to Glory O-Four Roses Thoroughbreds; B-Rogers Samuel H. Mr. & Mrs. (Fl)
8
HARD SPUN, 3, c, by Danzig—Turkish Tryst, by Turkoman O-Fox Hill Farms Inc; B-Michael Moran & Brushwood Stable (Pa)
9
TIAGO, 3, c, by Pleasant Tap—Set Them Free, by Stop the Music O-Mr & Mrs Jerome S Moss; B-Moss J. S. Mr. & Mrs. (Ky)


Saturday’s $5 million Classic will decide Horse of the Year honors. The
terrific field of nine includes the top older U.S. horse in training, LAWYER RON
(Langfuhr); the exciting three-year-olds STREET SENSE (Street Cry [Ire]), CURLIN
(Smart Strike), ANY GIVEN SATURDAY (Distorted Humor), HARD SPUN (Danzig) and
TIAGO (Pleasant Tap); and the dangerous European raider GEORGE WASHINGTON (Ire)
(Danehill).











Street Sense and Calvin Borel will unite for one last race
(Michael J. Marten/Horsephotos.com)

Street Sense will cap a majestic year with the victory. He’ll become the
first horse to capture the elusive trifecta of the Kentucky Derby (G1), Travers
S. (G1) and Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1), and we believe he’ll do it. Carl Nafzger
has successfully used Polytrack preps to prepare the dark bay for career bests,
and Street Sense received the perfect set-up in the Kentucky Cup Classic (G2) on
September 29, finishing second over the Polytrack at Turfway Park. Hard Spun was
the controlling speed that afternoon, so jockey Calvin Borel did not abuse
Street Sense through the stretch, and the colt received a respectable 107 BRIS
Speed rating for the runner-up effort. He netted a 111 figure for his score in
the Travers two back, rallying boldly to catch the game front runner in the
stretch of the 1 1/4-mile test, and Street Sense is two-for-two at 10 furlongs.

He owns the numbers, takes his (dirt) track with him and won’t have any
trouble with the distance. Street Sense, who finished a good third in his lone
appearance over an off track last year, is also training superbly for his career
finale, turning in several eye-catching moves at Churchill Downs before a
sensational move at Monmouth earlier this week. He worked well over the slop
earlier this season, and now appears ready to deliver his best regardless of
footing. Street Sense has proven effective behind fast and moderate splits, and
a legitimate clip up front looks very possible with Lawyer Ron and Hard Spun
contesting the pace. Jockey Calvin Borel is very confident in the colt, and
Nafzger can point his charges toward big events as well as anybody, winning both
the Derby and Classic with Unbridled in 1990. Street Sense rates a slight edge.



Lawyer Ron is an awesome racehorse, but he’s winless in three starts at 10
furlongs and will attempt to get over the barrel in an extremely difficult spot.
We still have a lot of respect for the four-year-old, who turned in perhaps the
best performances of the year when winning the Whitney H. (G1) and Woodward S.
(G1) at Saratoga. The chestnut offered a very respectable effort last time in
the 1 1/4-mile Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), falling a neck short of Curlin, and
that was an encouraging sign in terms of the Classic. We like the rail draw
(inside of Hard Spun) and fully expect jockey John Velazquez to send him forward
to the early lead. Lawyer Ron has continued to train forwardly at Belmont for
Todd Pletcher since the Gold Cup, and we’re expecting a big effort. We’ll tab
him for runner-up honors.

Curlin looks like a handful, and may prove impossible to withstand. We’re
overlooking his third in the Haskell Invitational (G1) two back at Monmouth,
which followed a grueling Triple Crown campaign, and focusing upon his Jockey
Club Gold Cup, Belmont S. (G1) and Preakness (G1) efforts. In the latter, the
Steve Asmussen-trained colt re-rallied in the stretch to nail Street Sense on
the wire, registering a whopping 113 Speed rating for the head decision, and
Curlin notched a 117 Speed rating for his impressive tally in the Gold Cup last
out. The well-built colt loves a classic distance and will enter this event on
the upswing. Play against at your own risk.











Tiago will try to add a first stakes win over a non-California track to his record
in the Classic

(Michael J. Marten/Horsephotos.com)

Tiago is bigger, faster and more mature than he was earlier in the year when
racing in the Kentucky Derby and Belmont. The John Shirreffs-trained sophomore
colt has captured his last three starts on the West Coast, winning the Santa
Anita Derby (G1), Swaps Breeders’ Cup S. (G2) and Goodwood S. (G1), and he
captured the latter in game fashion following a 2 1/2-month freshening. We’re
expecting improvement upon that notable performance. The bay colt has exhibited
more tactical speed in his recent outings, and he’s definitely a strong closer.
We’ll include him in some exotics.

We’ll take a stand against Any Given Saturday, but we won’t knock him too far
down in our selections. He’s difficult to ignore based on his smashing 4
1/2-length score in the Haskell two back, at the expense of Curlin and Hard
Spun, but this race will set up completely different and take place over an
extra furlong. Any Given Saturday finished eighth in the Kentucky Derby, and his
victory in the Brooklyn H. (G2) last out was far from spectacular. It may not
make much of a difference, and we won’t be surprised to see him hit the board,
but we have our doubts whether Any Given Saturday is good enough to the win.

AWESOME GEM (Awesome Again) is a hard-knocking older horse, finishing a close
second in the Goodwood, Pacific Classic (G1) and San Diego H. (G2) in his last
three outings, but his Speed ratings are low. Those numbers were earned over
synthetic tracks, but the four-year-old gelding earned only a 103 when winning a
Grade 2 on dirt earlier this year at Santa Anita. The late runner remains a
contender for a small share, but we can’t recommend his chances against this
salty competition.



Hard Spun is as game as they come, but he doesn’t figure to get the best trip
with Lawyer Ron showing speed and probably prefers a little less ground than 10
furlongs. He’s versatile, winning the seven-furlong King’s Bishop S. (G1) and a
pair of Grade 2 Polytrack events at 1 1/8 miles this year, but he’ll have to
prove us wrong on Saturday.

George Washington recorded a solid sixth in last year’s Classic at Churchill
Downs, but he’s facing a much deeper field at Monmouth. Primarily a miler, the
four-year-old colt was un-retired earlier this year after proving to be a flop
at stud. He’s still a top-class individual capable of running a big race with
his best, but he was probably in better form entering the 2006 edition. DIAMOND
STRIPES (Notebook) could move up on a sloppy track, but he figures to struggle
with the distance and company.